Test the decisions that move accounts, not just clicks.
Financial services teams face high-stakes decisions with real cost if they get it wrong — offer framing, approval thresholds, cross-sell timing, fraud parameters. Decision Process brings the same statistical rigor used in clinical trials to operational finance decisions.
Experiment Templates
Ready-to-run experiments
Credit Offer Messaging Test
“Pre-approved framing increases credit card application rate vs. invitation framing.”
Conditions
- Invitation offer (control)
- Pre-approved offer
Metrics
- Approval Rate (%)
- Cost per Acquisition (USD)
Account Onboarding Flow
“Streamlined document upload reduces application abandonment.”
Conditions
- Upload-first (control)
- Create-then-upload
- Mobile capture
Metrics
- Approval Rate (%)
- Cost per Acquisition (USD)
- Cross-Sell Rate (%)
Fraud Detection Threshold Calibration
“Raising the fraud score threshold at 85 reduces false positives without increasing true fraud.”
Conditions
- Threshold 75 (control)
- Threshold 80
- Threshold 85
Metrics
- Fraud Rate (%)
- Approval Rate (%)
- Revenue per Account (USD)
Cross-Sell Offer Timing
“Presenting savings product offer at day 30 post-open outperforms day 7.”
Conditions
- Day 7 offer (control)
- Day 30 offer
- Behavior-triggered
Metrics
- Cross-Sell Rate (%)
- Churn Rate (%)
- Revenue per Account (USD)
Worked Example
Pre-approved vs. invitation offer framing for 3,200 credit card prospects
A retail bank randomly assigns credit card marketing to two groups: an invitation-to-apply message vs. a pre-approved framing (same underlying terms). Application rate and downstream default rate tracked at 90 days.
Results: application_rate (%)
Invitation offer (control)
mean: 4.2%
95% CI: 3.4–5.0
Pre-approved framing
mean: 6.8%
95% CI: 5.8–7.8
P(better) = 99%
Pre-approved framing lifts application rate by +2.6 percentage points (d = +0.52, medium effect) at 99% posterior probability, with no significant difference in 90-day default rate. Recommendation: shift all eligible prospect outreach to pre-approved framing.
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